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Red65
902310.3
198323.4
297614.9
Blue64
321911.3
214715.7
446917.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51460204060801001206564

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1983
#15
23.40.4
22.322.7
Auto11.5
Teleop9.6
End2.3
red by 6.0
4469
#13
17.30.5
16.817.2
Auto4.0
Teleop11.6
End1.8
Second
2976
#30
14.90.5
13.714.2
Auto7.6
Teleop6.3
End1.0
blue by 0.8
2147
#18
15.70.5
15.115.6
Auto3.3
Teleop11.2
End1.2
Third
9023
#12
10.30.5
9.29.6
Auto6.6
Teleop3.2
End0.5
blue by 0.9
11.30.6
10.611.1
Auto4.3
Teleop5.2
End1.8