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Red72
558812.9
48821.7
129421.8
Blue75
29038.2
387610.1
445021.6
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6537020801001207275

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.80.4
21.521.9
Auto9.0
Teleop12.3
End0.5
red by 0.2
4450
#14
21.60.5
20.521.0
Auto6.3
Teleop14.3
End1.0
Second
488
#4
21.70.4
21.421.8
Auto9.2
Teleop11.8
End0.8
red by 11.6
3876
#10
10.10.6
8.99.5
Auto3.3
Teleop5.4
End1.4
Third
5588
#23
12.90.5
12.512.9
Auto6.6
Teleop5.1
End1.3
red by 4.7
2903
#17
8.20.5
7.17.6
Auto2.7
Teleop4.3
End1.2