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Red99
366336.8
451212.4
131837.2
Blue60
49225.9
418021.5
639018.4
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions98670501502009960

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.20.2
36.837.0
Auto11.9
Teleop20.2
End5.1
red by 11.4
492
#8
25.90.2
25.525.3
Auto6.6
Teleop17.7
End1.6
Second
36.80.2
36.436.6
Auto15.1
Teleop20.0
End1.6
red by 15.3
4180
#19
21.50.2
21.221.0
Auto11.3
Teleop8.4
End1.8
Third
4512
#18
12.40.2
12.012.2
Auto5.8
Teleop6.5
End0.1
blue by 6.0
6390
#12
18.40.2
18.017.8
Auto7.7
Teleop9.6
End1.1