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Red79
292820.7
999813.5
241217.8
Blue98
49225.9
418021.5
639018.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions537101001502002503003504007998

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2928
#11
20.70.6
20.120.7
Auto7.9
Teleop11.8
End1.0
blue by 5.1
492
#8
25.90.8
24.725.5
Auto6.6
Teleop17.7
End1.6
Second
2412
#24
17.80.6
17.217.8
Auto7.8
Teleop9.5
End0.5
blue by 3.7
4180
#19
21.50.8
20.421.2
Auto11.3
Teleop8.4
End1.8
Third
9998
#14
13.50.6
12.913.5
Auto5.1
Teleop7.5
End0.9
blue by 4.8
6390
#12
18.40.8
17.218.0
Auto7.7
Teleop9.6
End1.1