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Red96
639018.4
418021.5
49225.9
Blue67
945016.8
451320.1
321823.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions666750607080909667

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
492
#8
25.90.8
23.924.7
Auto6.6
Teleop17.7
End1.6
red by 2.4
23.40.2
23.623.4
Auto8.3
Teleop14.1
End1.0
Second
4180
#19
21.50.8
19.620.4
Auto11.3
Teleop8.4
End1.8
red by 1.4
20.10.2
20.320.1
Auto9.9
Teleop9.4
End0.8
Third
6390
#12
18.40.8
16.417.2
Auto7.7
Teleop9.6
End1.1
red by 1.5
9450
#17
16.80.2
17.016.8
Auto8.0
Teleop7.3
End1.6