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Red112
366336.8
451212.4
131837.2
Blue100
241217.8
999813.5
292820.7
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100450150200112100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.20.4
36.536.8
Auto11.9
Teleop20.2
End5.1
red by 16.5
2928
#11
20.71.0
19.120.1
Auto7.9
Teleop11.8
End1.0
Second
36.80.4
36.036.4
Auto15.1
Teleop20.0
End1.6
red by 19.0
2412
#24
17.81.0
16.117.2
Auto7.8
Teleop9.5
End0.5
Third
4512
#18
12.40.4
11.612.0
Auto5.8
Teleop6.5
End0.1
blue by 1.2
9998
#14
13.51.0
11.912.9
Auto5.1
Teleop7.5
End0.9