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Red106
639018.4
418021.5
49225.9
Blue64
129418.3
903623.4
189920.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6170010015020025030010664

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
492
#8
25.91.1
22.823.9
Auto6.6
Teleop17.7
End1.6
red by 2.4
9036
#10
23.40.0
23.423.4
Auto7.7
Teleop13.7
End2.0
Second
4180
#19
21.51.1
18.519.6
Auto11.3
Teleop8.4
End1.8
red by 1.0
20.50.0
20.520.5
Auto9.7
Teleop9.9
End0.9
Third
6390
#12
18.41.1
15.316.4
Auto7.7
Teleop9.6
End1.1
red by 0.1
1294
#29
18.30.0
18.218.3
Auto8.0
Teleop9.7
End0.6