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Red70
321823.4
451320.1
945016.8
Blue56
177828.5
94814.4
255723.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions657602003004005006007007056

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.40.1
23.523.6
Auto8.3
Teleop14.1
End1.0
blue by 5.1
1778
#21
28.50.4
28.928.5
Auto8.6
Teleop16.7
End3.2
Second
20.10.1
20.220.3
Auto9.9
Teleop9.4
End0.8
blue by 3.1
23.30.4
23.723.3
Auto10.1
Teleop11.0
End2.1
Third
9450
#17
16.80.1
17.017.0
Auto8.0
Teleop7.3
End1.6
red by 2.5
948
#31
14.40.4
14.814.4
Auto6.1
Teleop7.8
End0.4