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Red37
999813.5
468217.7
177828.5
Blue40
298010.8
292820.7
255723.3
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions83692040601001203740

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1778
#21
28.52.3
41.639.3
Auto8.6
Teleop16.7
End3.2
red by 5.3
23.31.6
26.925.3
Auto10.1
Teleop11.0
End2.1
Second
4682
#22
17.72.3
22.219.9
Auto8.9
Teleop8.1
End0.7
blue by 3.0
2928
#11
20.71.6
21.520.0
Auto7.9
Teleop11.8
End1.0
Third
9998
#14
13.53.9
8.04.2
Auto5.1
Teleop7.5
End0.9
red by 2.8
2980
#33
10.81.6
15.213.6
Auto4.3
Teleop3.6
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
57%Melody oddsMissed70%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed21%Ensemble oddsMissed