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Red73
762723.4
49225.9
321823.4
Blue18
99946.8
212226.2
29769.9
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions706002040801001201407318

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
492
#8
25.90.7
24.325.0
Auto6.6
Teleop17.7
End1.6
blue by 0.4
2122
#16
26.22.4
34.832.4
Auto9.2
Teleop14.4
End2.7
Second
23.40.7
20.421.1
Auto8.3
Teleop14.1
End1.0
red by 13.5
2976
#15
9.92.4
14.612.2
Auto6.9
Teleop3.0
End0.1
Third
23.40.7
17.518.2
Auto7.8
Teleop12.6
End2.9
red by 16.5
9994
#23
6.84.0
4.90.9
Auto5.4
Teleop1.4
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
72%Melody oddsEarned60%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed44%Ensemble oddsMissed