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Red78
131837.2
408913.5
189920.5
Blue45
366336.8
94814.4
639018.4
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions886302040801001201407845

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.20.1
37.337.2
Auto11.9
Teleop20.2
End5.1
red by 0.4
36.81.0
31.430.4
Auto15.1
Teleop20.0
End1.6
Second
20.50.1
23.623.5
Auto9.7
Teleop9.9
End0.9
red by 2.1
6390
#12
18.41.0
10.49.4
Auto7.7
Teleop9.6
End1.1
Third
4089
#13
13.50.1
16.816.6
Auto3.6
Teleop7.7
End2.2
blue by 0.9
948
#31
14.41.0
18.217.2
Auto6.1
Teleop7.8
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
75%Melody oddsEarned49%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
65%Ensemble oddsEarned8%Ensemble oddsMissed