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Red47
999813.5
255723.3
582718.9
Blue38
241217.8
99993.8
298010.8
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions664802040801001204738

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.30.5
25.324.8
Auto10.1
Teleop11.0
End2.1
red by 5.4
2412
#24
17.80.1
20.720.6
Auto7.8
Teleop9.5
End0.5
Second
5827
#26
18.90.5
24.824.3
Auto7.9
Teleop10.2
End0.9
red by 8.1
2980
#33
10.80.1
13.613.5
Auto4.3
Teleop3.6
End2.9
Third
9998
#14
13.50.8
4.23.4
Auto5.1
Teleop7.5
End0.9
red by 9.7
9999
#32
3.80.2
5.45.2
Auto2.0
Teleop2.0
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
32%Melody oddsMissed33%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed