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Red47
639018.4
129418.3
177828.5
Blue51
99946.8
582718.9
252224.7
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions106770501504751

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1778
#21
28.53.7
46.743.0
Auto8.6
Teleop16.7
End3.2
red by 3.8
24.71.5
36.735.2
Auto10.3
Teleop12.2
End2.2
Second
6390
#12
18.43.7
13.69.9
Auto7.7
Teleop9.6
End1.1
blue by 0.6
5827
#26
18.91.5
27.426.0
Auto7.9
Teleop10.2
End0.9
Third
1294
#29
18.33.7
32.028.3
Auto8.0
Teleop9.7
End0.6
red by 11.4
9994
#23
6.82.4
8.86.3
Auto5.4
Teleop1.4
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
81%Melody oddsMissed83%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed55%Ensemble oddsMissed