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Red31
903623.4
94814.4
451320.1
Blue59
74618.1
468217.7
366336.8
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73920501001503159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9036
#10
23.42.5
28.926.5
Auto7.7
Teleop13.7
End2.0
blue by 13.3
36.81.8
34.532.7
Auto15.1
Teleop20.0
End1.6
Second
20.12.5
17.214.7
Auto9.9
Teleop9.4
End0.8
red by 2.4
4682
#22
17.71.8
25.523.8
Auto8.9
Teleop8.1
End0.7
Third
948
#31
14.42.5
21.919.4
Auto6.1
Teleop7.8
End0.4
red by 6.3
7461
#30
8.11.8
20.718.9
Auto3.1
Teleop4.7
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
81%Melody oddsMissed84%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsMissed25%Ensemble oddsMissed