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Red40
418021.5
49225.9
29769.9
Blue16
299012.9
298010.8
413111.2
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8455020401001201404016

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
492
#8
25.92.2
30.228.0
Auto6.6
Teleop17.7
End1.6
red by 13.0
2990
#25
12.92.6
18.315.7
Auto4.3
Teleop7.0
End1.6
Second
4180
#19
21.52.2
24.222.0
Auto11.3
Teleop8.4
End1.8
red by 10.3
4131
#20
11.22.6
15.913.3
Auto6.0
Teleop4.2
End1.0
Third
2976
#15
9.92.2
18.015.8
Auto6.9
Teleop3.0
End0.1
blue by 0.9
2980
#33
10.82.6
18.816.2
Auto4.3
Teleop3.6
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
81%Melody oddsMissed32%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
40%Ensemble oddsMissed38%Ensemble oddsMissed