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Red49
252224.7
29769.9
999813.5
Blue43
94814.4
49225.9
582718.9
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5676020401001201401604943

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.70.1
34.234.2
Auto10.3
Teleop12.2
End2.2
blue by 1.2
492
#8
25.92.0
25.022.9
Auto6.6
Teleop17.7
End1.6
Second
9998
#14
13.50.1
3.43.3
Auto5.1
Teleop7.5
End0.9
blue by 5.4
5827
#26
18.92.0
24.322.2
Auto7.9
Teleop10.2
End0.9
Third
2976
#15
9.90.1
12.212.1
Auto6.9
Teleop3.0
End0.1
blue by 4.5
948
#31
14.42.0
17.215.2
Auto6.1
Teleop7.8
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsEarned83%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed