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Red44
292820.7
212226.2
129418.3
Blue60
99946.8
639018.4
468217.7
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions932604060801201401604460

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2122
#16
26.22.5
32.429.9
Auto9.2
Teleop14.4
End2.7
red by 7.9
6390
#12
18.41.4
9.410.7
Auto7.7
Teleop9.6
End1.1
Second
2928
#11
20.72.5
19.717.2
Auto7.9
Teleop11.8
End1.0
red by 3.0
4682
#22
17.71.4
19.020.4
Auto8.9
Teleop8.1
End0.7
Third
1294
#29
18.32.5
24.121.6
Auto8.0
Teleop9.7
End0.6
red by 11.4
9994
#23
6.82.3
0.93.2
Auto5.4
Teleop1.4
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
80%Melody oddsMissed22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed