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Red20
177828.5
74618.1
252224.7
Blue51
451320.1
321823.4
418021.5
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1035401502051

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1778
#21
28.54.5
39.034.5
Auto8.6
Teleop16.7
End3.2
red by 5.1
23.40.2
20.720.5
Auto8.3
Teleop14.1
End1.0
Second
24.74.5
34.229.6
Auto10.3
Teleop12.2
End2.2
red by 3.2
4180
#19
21.50.2
18.618.4
Auto11.3
Teleop8.4
End1.8
Third
7461
#30
8.14.5
14.910.3
Auto3.1
Teleop4.7
End0.3
blue by 12.0
20.10.2
14.914.7
Auto9.9
Teleop9.4
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
92%Melody oddsMissed38%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsMissed25%Ensemble oddsMissed