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Red52
945016.8
212226.2
99993.8
Blue50
9988-1.1
594111.9
94814.4
75%Model gave it25%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions573302040801001205250

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2122
#16
26.20.6
29.930.5
Auto9.2
Teleop14.4
End2.7
red by 11.9
948
#31
14.41.1
15.216.4
Auto6.1
Teleop7.8
End0.4
Second
9450
#17
16.80.6
9.810.4
Auto8.0
Teleop7.3
End1.6
red by 4.9
5941
#28
11.91.1
11.612.7
Auto4.9
Teleop5.6
End1.4
Third
9999
#32
3.81.0
3.14.1
Auto2.0
Teleop2.0
End-0.1
red by 4.9
9988
#34
-1.11.9
6.07.9
Auto0.3
Teleop-1.8
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsEarned23%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
28%Ensemble oddsMissed2%Ensemble oddsMissed