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Red66
29769.9
408913.5
762723.4
Blue65
255723.3
592011.6
468217.7
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions506102040801001201406665

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.40.6
19.720.3
Auto7.8
Teleop12.6
End2.9
red by 0.1
23.30.0
24.924.9
Auto10.1
Teleop11.0
End2.1
Second
4089
#13
13.50.6
15.416.0
Auto3.6
Teleop7.7
End2.2
blue by 4.2
4682
#22
17.70.0
20.420.4
Auto8.9
Teleop8.1
End0.7
Third
2976
#15
9.90.6
12.112.7
Auto6.9
Teleop3.0
End0.1
blue by 1.7
5920
#27
11.60.0
9.39.4
Auto5.4
Teleop4.6
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
30%Melody oddsEarned25%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
25%Ensemble oddsEarned20%Ensemble oddsMissed