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Red51
49225.9
451320.1
99946.8
Blue46
74618.1
582718.9
241217.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions435501001502002503003505146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
492
#8
25.90.9
21.622.5
Auto6.6
Teleop17.7
End1.6
red by 6.9
5827
#26
18.90.5
19.919.3
Auto7.9
Teleop10.2
End0.9
Second
20.10.9
14.715.5
Auto9.9
Teleop9.4
End0.8
red by 2.3
2412
#24
17.80.5
18.818.3
Auto7.8
Teleop9.5
End0.5
Third
9994
#23
6.81.4
1.83.2
Auto5.4
Teleop1.4
End0.1
blue by 1.2
7461
#30
8.10.5
10.39.8
Auto3.1
Teleop4.7
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
32%Melody oddsEarned39%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed