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Red33
999813.5
94814.4
298010.8
Blue68
321823.4
99946.8
945016.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions424002060801003368

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
948
#31
14.40.2
16.015.7
Auto6.1
Teleop7.8
End0.4
blue by 9.1
23.42.2
20.722.9
Auto8.3
Teleop14.1
End1.0
Second
9998
#14
13.50.4
6.35.9
Auto5.1
Teleop7.5
End0.9
blue by 3.3
9450
#17
16.82.2
11.313.5
Auto8.0
Teleop7.3
End1.6
Third
2980
#33
10.80.2
14.514.3
Auto4.3
Teleop3.6
End2.9
red by 3.9
9994
#23
6.83.4
3.26.6
Auto5.4
Teleop1.4
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsMissed24%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed