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Red51
582718.9
413111.2
212226.2
Blue35
177828.5
299012.9
408913.5
52%Model gave it48%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70693040506080901005135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2122
#16
26.21.5
31.630.0
Auto9.2
Teleop14.4
End2.7
blue by 2.3
1778
#21
28.52.2
32.630.3
Auto8.6
Teleop16.7
End3.2
Second
5827
#26
18.91.5
19.317.8
Auto7.9
Teleop10.2
End0.9
red by 5.4
4089
#13
13.52.2
17.014.8
Auto3.6
Teleop7.7
End2.2
Third
4131
#20
11.21.5
13.211.7
Auto6.0
Teleop4.2
End1.0
blue by 1.6
2990
#25
12.92.2
13.611.4
Auto4.3
Teleop7.0
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
57%Melody oddsEarned56%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
31%Ensemble oddsMissed43%Ensemble oddsMissed