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Red60
292820.7
99993.8
366336.8
Blue41
241217.8
252224.7
299012.9
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65592040801006041

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.80.2
34.234.5
Auto15.1
Teleop20.0
End1.6
red by 12.1
24.70.9
26.125.1
Auto10.3
Teleop12.2
End2.2
Second
2928
#11
20.70.2
16.516.8
Auto7.9
Teleop11.8
End1.0
red by 2.9
2412
#24
17.80.9
16.315.3
Auto7.8
Teleop9.5
End0.5
Third
9999
#32
3.80.3
3.53.8
Auto2.0
Teleop2.0
End-0.1
blue by 9.0
2990
#25
12.90.9
12.911.9
Auto4.3
Teleop7.0
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
53%Melody oddsMissed42%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed28%Ensemble oddsMissed