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Red40
408913.5
413111.2
99946.8
Blue50
255723.3
74618.1
594111.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions344701001502002503004050

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4089
#13
13.50.2
14.414.2
Auto3.6
Teleop7.7
End2.2
blue by 9.8
23.30.6
22.923.5
Auto10.1
Teleop11.0
End2.1
Second
4131
#20
11.20.2
11.411.2
Auto6.0
Teleop4.2
End1.0
blue by 0.7
5941
#28
11.90.6
11.812.4
Auto4.9
Teleop5.6
End1.4
Third
9994
#23
6.80.2
6.66.4
Auto5.4
Teleop1.4
End0.1
blue by 1.2
7461
#30
8.10.6
6.77.3
Auto3.1
Teleop4.7
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed40%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed