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Red67
468217.7
762723.4
451212.4
Blue86
999813.5
321823.4
131837.2
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions527602040601001201406786

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.41.1
22.323.5
Auto7.8
Teleop12.6
End2.9
blue by 13.8
37.21.1
33.834.9
Auto11.9
Teleop20.2
End5.1
Second
4682
#22
17.71.1
18.719.8
Auto8.9
Teleop8.1
End0.7
blue by 5.7
23.41.1
22.023.0
Auto8.3
Teleop14.1
End1.0
Third
4512
#18
12.41.1
9.310.4
Auto5.8
Teleop6.5
End0.1
blue by 1.2
9998
#14
13.51.3
9.310.6
Auto5.1
Teleop7.5
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
44%Melody oddsEarned77%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed21%Ensemble oddsMissed