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Red107
49225.9
366336.8
131837.2
Blue65
255723.3
177828.5
99946.8
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1065905015010765

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.21.1
34.936.0
Auto11.9
Teleop20.2
End5.1
red by 8.7
1778
#21
28.50.4
28.829.2
Auto8.6
Teleop16.7
End3.2
Second
36.81.1
34.535.6
Auto15.1
Teleop20.0
End1.6
red by 13.5
23.30.4
23.523.9
Auto10.1
Teleop11.0
End2.1
Third
492
#8
25.91.1
21.122.2
Auto6.6
Teleop17.7
End1.6
red by 19.0
9994
#23
6.80.5
6.46.8
Auto5.4
Teleop1.4
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
91%Melody oddsEarned69%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
46%Ensemble oddsMissed27%Ensemble oddsMissed