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Red61
594111.9
321823.4
252224.7
Blue38
241217.8
945016.8
408913.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions694801001506138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.70.4
25.124.7
Auto10.3
Teleop12.2
End2.2
red by 6.9
2412
#24
17.80.5
15.314.8
Auto7.8
Teleop9.5
End0.5
Second
23.40.4
23.022.6
Auto8.3
Teleop14.1
End1.0
red by 6.6
9450
#17
16.80.5
16.616.0
Auto8.0
Teleop7.3
End1.6
Third
5941
#28
11.90.4
12.411.9
Auto4.9
Teleop5.6
End1.4
blue by 1.6
4089
#13
13.50.5
14.213.7
Auto3.6
Teleop7.7
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
63%Melody oddsEarned10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsMissed