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Red32
298010.8
468217.7
212226.2
Blue46
418021.5
74618.1
451212.4
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71330204060801001201403246

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2122
#16
26.21.9
28.326.4
Auto9.2
Teleop14.4
End2.7
red by 4.7
4180
#19
21.50.7
17.117.9
Auto11.3
Teleop8.4
End1.8
Second
4682
#22
17.71.9
19.817.9
Auto8.9
Teleop8.1
End0.7
red by 5.4
4512
#18
12.40.7
10.411.2
Auto5.8
Teleop6.5
End0.1
Third
2980
#33
10.81.9
12.710.8
Auto4.3
Teleop3.6
End2.9
red by 2.7
7461
#30
8.10.7
7.38.0
Auto3.1
Teleop4.7
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
51%Melody oddsMissed29%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed