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Red48
639018.4
582718.9
29769.9
Blue48
99993.8
413111.2
903623.4
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4747203040506070804848

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5827
#26
18.9
Auto7.9
Teleop10.2
End0.9
blue by 4.5
9036
#10
23.4
Auto7.7
Teleop13.7
End2.0
Second
6390
#12
18.4
Auto7.7
Teleop9.6
End1.1
red by 7.1
4131
#20
11.2
Auto6.0
Teleop4.2
End1.0
Third
2976
#15
9.9
Auto6.9
Teleop3.0
End0.1
red by 6.0
9999
#32
3.8
Auto2.0
Teleop2.0
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody oddsEarned39%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed