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Red32
413111.2
74618.1
49225.9
Blue59
408913.5
903623.4
999813.5
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions685802040801001201401603259

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
492
#8
25.92.2
28.025.8
Auto6.6
Teleop17.7
End1.6
red by 2.4
9036
#10
23.40.5
26.527.0
Auto7.7
Teleop13.7
End2.0
Second
4131
#20
11.22.2
13.311.1
Auto6.0
Teleop4.2
End1.0
blue by 2.3
9998
#14
13.50.9
7.28.0
Auto5.1
Teleop7.5
End0.9
Third
7461
#30
8.12.2
18.916.7
Auto3.1
Teleop4.7
End0.3
blue by 5.4
4089
#13
13.50.5
17.518.1
Auto3.6
Teleop7.7
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
68%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed27%Ensemble oddsEarned