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Red59
212226.2
299012.9
451320.1
Blue42
29769.9
94814.4
321823.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7462020401001201405942

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2122
#16
26.20.7
35.134.4
Auto9.2
Teleop14.4
End2.7
red by 2.8
23.41.0
22.221.2
Auto8.3
Teleop14.1
End1.0
Second
20.10.7
14.714.0
Auto9.9
Teleop9.4
End0.8
red by 5.8
948
#31
14.41.0
19.418.4
Auto6.1
Teleop7.8
End0.4
Third
2990
#25
12.90.7
15.715.0
Auto4.3
Teleop7.0
End1.6
red by 3.0
2976
#15
9.91.0
15.814.8
Auto6.9
Teleop3.0
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
53%Melody oddsEarned68%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
76%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed