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Red33
298010.8
945016.8
451212.4
Blue94
366336.8
189920.5
252224.7
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions381110501001502003394

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9450
#17
16.81.0
12.911.9
Auto8.0
Teleop7.3
End1.6
blue by 19.9
36.80.5
32.732.2
Auto15.1
Teleop20.0
End1.6
Second
4512
#18
12.41.0
13.512.5
Auto5.8
Teleop6.5
End0.1
blue by 12.3
24.70.5
35.234.7
Auto10.3
Teleop12.2
End2.2
Third
2980
#33
10.81.0
16.215.2
Auto4.3
Teleop3.6
End2.9
blue by 9.7
20.50.5
23.723.2
Auto9.7
Teleop9.9
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed72%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsMissed55%Ensemble oddsMissed