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Red43
292820.7
639018.4
241217.8
Blue42
762723.4
418021.5
255723.3
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5779020401001201404342

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2928
#11
20.70.7
22.321.5
Auto7.9
Teleop11.8
End1.0
blue by 2.6
23.41.8
18.116.3
Auto7.8
Teleop12.6
End2.9
Second
6390
#12
18.40.7
9.99.2
Auto7.7
Teleop9.6
End1.1
blue by 4.9
23.31.8
28.726.9
Auto10.1
Teleop11.0
End2.1
Third
2412
#24
17.80.7
21.620.9
Auto7.8
Teleop9.5
End0.5
blue by 3.7
4180
#19
21.51.8
22.020.2
Auto11.3
Teleop8.4
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
38%Melody oddsMissed63%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed41%Ensemble oddsEarned