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Red63
255724.3
446922.1
593716.0
Blue75
95817.0
366335.6
468220.0
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions576730405080901006375

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2557
#14
24.30.7
22.523.2
Auto7.1
Teleop14.0
End3.1
blue by 11.3
35.61.0
28.129.1
Auto15.8
Teleop18.4
End1.3
Second
4469
#12
22.10.7
19.520.2
Auto6.3
Teleop13.9
End2.0
red by 2.1
4682
#18
20.01.0
22.023.0
Auto9.5
Teleop9.9
End0.6
Third
5937
#15
16.00.7
10.611.2
Auto4.8
Teleop8.5
End2.7
red by 9.0
9581
#27DQ
7.01.7
9.311.1
Auto3.3
Teleop3.6
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsEarned49%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed