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Red21
63509.1
29064.6
594118.1
Blue49
204634.4
33930.9
491114.3
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions235104060802149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.10.2
17.417.1
Auto4.2
Teleop11.0
End2.9
blue by 16.3
34.40.4
30.530.9
Auto9.6
Teleop20.7
End4.1
Second
6350
#26
9.10.2
5.24.9
Auto2.6
Teleop4.8
End1.7
blue by 5.2
4911
#20
14.30.4
6.87.2
Auto6.4
Teleop7.3
End0.6
Third
2906
#33
4.60.2
2.01.7
Auto2.0
Teleop2.4
End0.2
red by 3.7
3393
#30
0.90.4
5.76.1
Auto1.4
Teleop-1.0
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed46%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed