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Red42
291042.3
298013.6
88963.2
Blue45
803216.5
83028.1
304913.9
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65350204060801004245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.31.7
35.934.3
Auto13.4
Teleop28.6
End0.2
red by 25.8
8032
#24
16.50.6
14.214.8
Auto6.2
Teleop8.0
End2.3
Second
2980
#28
13.61.7
17.716.1
Auto4.7
Teleop6.3
End2.6
blue by 0.3
3049
#25
13.90.6
12.513.1
Auto3.4
Teleop7.8
End2.8
Third
8896
#21
3.21.7
1.3-0.3
Auto2.4
Teleop0.6
End0.2
blue by 5.0
8302
#32
8.10.6
8.79.3
Auto3.3
Teleop4.0
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
54%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed