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Red60
29297.4
321819.1
366335.6
Blue48
45795.0
321911.0
491519.7
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions572702040801006048

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.60.7
29.129.8
Auto15.8
Teleop18.4
End1.3
red by 15.9
4915
#11
19.71.3
11.212.5
Auto5.5
Teleop12.1
End2.1
Second
19.10.7
12.713.4
Auto4.9
Teleop12.9
End1.3
red by 8.1
3219
#31
11.01.3
12.213.5
Auto4.1
Teleop5.9
End1.1
Third
2929
#19
7.40.7
6.06.7
Auto3.8
Teleop2.8
End0.8
red by 2.4
4579
#23
5.01.3
4.96.2
Auto2.6
Teleop1.8
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
44%Melody oddsEarned7%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed