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Red55
37864.5
451213.8
944615.0
Blue9
95817.0
29064.6
33930.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions212110203040559

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.02.1
9.911.9
Auto5.0
Teleop9.0
End1.1
red by 8.0
9581
#27
7.01.7
11.19.4
Auto3.3
Teleop3.6
End0.1
Second
13.82.1
6.68.7
Auto5.9
Teleop7.6
End0.3
red by 9.3
2906
#33
4.61.0
1.70.7
Auto2.0
Teleop2.4
End0.2
Third
3786
#29
4.52.1
2.34.4
Auto3.4
Teleop1.0
End0.1
red by 3.6
3393
#30
0.91.0
6.15.1
Auto1.4
Teleop-1.0
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
25%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed