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Red44
468220.0
293026.5
83028.1
Blue65
63509.1
204634.4
762719.3
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61562040801004465

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2930
#10
26.51.0
22.321.2
Auto13.1
Teleop12.5
End0.9
blue by 7.8
34.40.9
30.931.8
Auto9.6
Teleop20.7
End4.1
Second
4682
#18
20.01.0
23.022.0
Auto9.5
Teleop9.9
End0.6
red by 0.7
7627
#17
19.30.9
15.816.6
Auto5.7
Teleop11.8
End1.9
Third
8302
#32
8.11.0
9.38.3
Auto3.3
Teleop4.0
End0.8
blue by 1.0
6350
#26
9.10.9
4.95.8
Auto2.6
Teleop4.8
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
35%Melody oddsMissed30%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed25%Ensemble oddsEarned