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Red40
803216.5
255724.3
83033.8
Blue66
593716.0
298013.6
177835.6
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions456520801001204066

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2557
#14
24.30.2
23.223.0
Auto7.1
Teleop14.0
End3.1
blue by 11.3
35.60.6
29.129.7
Auto14.0
Teleop18.6
End3.0
Second
8032
#24
16.50.2
14.814.6
Auto6.2
Teleop8.0
End2.3
red by 0.5
5937
#15
16.00.6
11.211.9
Auto4.8
Teleop8.5
End2.7
Third
8303
#34
3.80.2
4.94.7
Auto2.1
Teleop0.7
End1.0
blue by 9.8
2980
#28
13.60.6
16.116.7
Auto4.7
Teleop6.3
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed28%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsEarned30%Ensemble oddsEarned