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Red96
88963.2
491114.3
366335.6
Blue45
746117.4
252230.4
451213.8
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3860020801009645

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.61.6
29.831.4
Auto15.8
Teleop18.4
End1.3
red by 5.2
2522
#13
30.40.4
25.224.8
Auto11.3
Teleop17.6
End1.4
Second
4911
#20
14.31.6
7.28.8
Auto6.4
Teleop7.3
End0.6
blue by 3.1
7461
#16
17.40.7
17.516.8
Auto5.6
Teleop10.9
End0.8
Third
8896
#21
3.21.6
-0.31.3
Auto2.4
Teleop0.6
End0.2
blue by 10.7
13.80.4
8.78.3
Auto5.9
Teleop7.6
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsEarned46%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsEarned24%Ensemble oddsMissed