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Red82
762719.3
944615.0
177835.6
Blue46
204634.4
95817.0
803216.5
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions656140507080901008246

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.61.6
29.731.3
Auto14.0
Teleop18.6
End3.0
red by 1.2
34.40.7
31.831.2
Auto9.6
Teleop20.7
End4.1
Second
7627
#17
19.31.6
16.618.2
Auto5.7
Teleop11.8
End1.9
red by 2.8
8032
#24
16.50.7
14.613.9
Auto6.2
Teleop8.0
End2.3
Third
15.01.6
11.913.5
Auto5.0
Teleop9.0
End1.1
red by 8.0
9581
#27
7.01.1
9.48.3
Auto3.3
Teleop3.6
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
35%Melody oddsEarned53%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
46%Ensemble oddsMissed23%Ensemble oddsMissed