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Red51
291042.3
83028.1
446922.1
Blue51
321911.0
321819.1
594118.1
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72442060801001205151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.3
Auto13.4
Teleop28.6
End0.2
red by 23.2
19.1
Auto4.9
Teleop12.9
End1.3
Second
4469
#12
22.1
Auto6.3
Teleop13.9
End2.0
red by 4.1
18.1
Auto4.2
Teleop11.0
End2.9
Third
8302
#32
8.1
Auto3.3
Teleop4.0
End0.8
blue by 2.9
3219
#31
11.0
Auto4.1
Teleop5.9
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
81%Melody oddsEarned27%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed22%Ensemble oddsMissed