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Red59
593716.0
491519.7
63509.1
Blue4
29075.5
33930.9
746117.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions323310204050594

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4915
#11
19.70.9
12.513.4
Auto5.5
Teleop12.1
End2.1
red by 2.3
7461
#16
17.42.7
16.814.0
Auto5.6
Teleop10.9
End0.8
Second
5937
#15
16.00.9
11.912.8
Auto4.8
Teleop8.5
End2.7
red by 10.4
2907
#35
5.51.6
6.75.1
Auto3.2
Teleop2.4
End-0.0
Third
6350
#26
9.10.9
5.86.8
Auto2.6
Teleop4.8
End1.7
red by 8.2
3393
#30
0.91.6
5.13.4
Auto1.4
Teleop-1.0
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed