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Red83
382617.5
304913.9
255724.3
Blue23
29297.4
491114.3
37864.5
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6216040801008323

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2557
#14
24.31.2
23.024.2
Auto7.1
Teleop14.0
End3.1
red by 10.0
4911
#20
14.30.2
8.89.0
Auto6.4
Teleop7.3
End0.6
Second
17.51.2
14.115.3
Auto7.1
Teleop9.3
End1.1
red by 10.1
2929
#19
7.40.2
6.76.9
Auto3.8
Teleop2.8
End0.8
Third
3049
#25
13.91.2
13.114.3
Auto3.4
Teleop7.8
End2.8
red by 9.5
3786
#29
4.50.2
4.44.6
Auto3.4
Teleop1.0
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
37%Melody oddsEarned12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsEarned