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Red54
252230.4
45795.0
568312.8
Blue54
298013.6
293026.5
29064.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions484202060805454

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2522
#13
30.4
Auto11.3
Teleop17.6
End1.4
red by 3.8
2930
#10
26.5
Auto13.1
Teleop12.5
End0.9
Second
5683
#22
12.8
Auto5.2
Teleop6.0
End1.6
blue by 0.8
2980
#28
13.6
Auto4.7
Teleop6.3
End2.6
Third
4579
#23
5.0
Auto2.6
Teleop1.8
End0.6
red by 0.4
2906
#33
4.6
Auto2.0
Teleop2.4
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed25%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed