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Red15
321911.0
83028.1
33930.9
Blue47
491519.7
29297.4
304913.9
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26400102030506070801547

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3219
#31
11.00.7
13.512.8
Auto4.1
Teleop5.9
End1.1
blue by 8.7
4915
#11
19.70.7
13.414.1
Auto5.5
Teleop12.1
End2.1
Second
8302
#32
8.10.7
8.37.6
Auto3.3
Teleop4.0
End0.8
blue by 5.8
3049
#25
13.90.7
14.315.0
Auto3.4
Teleop7.8
End2.8
Third
3393
#30
0.90.7
3.42.8
Auto1.4
Teleop-1.0
End0.5
blue by 6.5
2929
#19
7.40.7
6.97.6
Auto3.8
Teleop2.8
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed