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Red48
37864.5
293026.5
255724.3
Blue51
594118.1
291042.3
95817.0
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5467204060801004851

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2930
#10
26.50.1
21.221.1
Auto13.1
Teleop12.5
End0.9
blue by 15.7
42.31.2
33.832.7
Auto13.4
Teleop28.6
End0.2
Second
2557
#14
24.30.1
24.224.1
Auto7.1
Teleop14.0
End3.1
red by 6.2
18.11.2
16.515.4
Auto4.2
Teleop11.0
End2.9
Third
3786
#29
4.50.1
4.64.5
Auto3.4
Teleop1.0
End0.1
blue by 2.5
9581
#27
7.02.0
8.36.3
Auto3.3
Teleop3.6
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsEarned69%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed