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Red49
177835.6
63509.1
45795.0
Blue109
252230.4
446922.1
204634.4
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions439020608010012014049109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.60.3
31.331.6
Auto14.0
Teleop18.6
End3.0
red by 1.2
34.42.2
31.233.4
Auto9.6
Teleop20.7
End4.1
Second
6350
#26
9.10.3
6.87.1
Auto2.6
Teleop4.8
End1.7
blue by 21.3
2522
#13
30.42.2
24.827.0
Auto11.3
Teleop17.6
End1.4
Third
4579
#23
5.00.3
6.26.5
Auto2.6
Teleop1.8
End0.6
blue by 17.1
4469
#12
22.12.2
19.621.8
Auto6.3
Teleop13.9
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsEarned92%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed27%Ensemble oddsEarned